Monday, August 18, 2014

Fighting Near Mosul Dam

The Mosul Dam. Photo: AP, via BBC
UPDATE 2: Iraqi and Kurdish forces have now taken the dam. Another Iraqi offensive is moving towards Tikrit.

Supported by U.S. and Iraqi airstrikes, Kurdish Peshmerga and Iraqi special forces claimed to have recaptured the ISIS-held Mosul Dam early Sunday. ISIS initially captured the dam on August 7. Observers fear that the deliberate or accidental destruction of the fragile dam would lead to the flooding of Mosul and even parts of Baghdad, killing hundreds of thousands and threatening much of Iraq with famine.

Fighting near the strategically-critical dam is ongoing. The capture of the dam will allow Iraqi and Kurdish forces to move on to Mosul, Iraq's largest city after Baghdad. Mosul remains occupied by ISIS. Capture of Mosul without prior capture of the dam could prompt ISIS to deliberately flood the city.

The U.S. airstrikes appear to heave primarily targeted captured armored vehicles and heavy weapons in ISIS hands. ISIS’ heavy equipment (including U.S.-made Humvees) was captured from the Syrian and Iraqi armies, and have boosted their effectiveness in recent fighting. Their experience from fighting in Syria has given them another advantage against their Iraqi and Kurdish opponents. The airstrikes may force the terrorist group to change tactics – they have already begun using roadside bombs, suggesting a transition from more direct conventional operations – and have already lent an important advantage to the beleaguered Iraqi military and the Peshmerga.

Iraqi Unity?

The combined operation of Iraqi and Kurdish troops is an important step forward. If the two forces continue to act in concert, they will be much more effective than if they were acting independently. This coordination is critical in efforts to defeat ISIS, and signals that the threat of the terrorist group is drawing Iraqis closer together.

Peshmerga approach the Mosul Dam with a truck-mounted
DshK machine gun. Photo: AFP, via BBC

The Peshmerga

The Peshmerga is the fighting force of Iraqi Kurdistan. They have been supported by Kurdish militias from Syria (the YPG) and Turkey (the PKK). Kurdish fighters fought well against Saddam Hussein during the U.S. invasion of Iraq, and were initially praised by western observers for resisting ISIS more effectively than the Iraqi military. Then ISIS turned focused its offensive on them, forcing the Kurds to retreat as well. 

The Kurdish arsenal appears to contain AK-series rifles, plus PK machine guns, SVD sniper rifles, RPG-7 anti-tank rocket launchers, DshK and KPV heavy machine guns, ZU-23 anti-aircraft guns, Humvees, and a handful of T-55 tanks (it’s unclear how many). Photos from 2012 show a Soviet-made D-30 howitzer, but I have found no recent images of one. All of these weapons (except the Humvee) are Soviet-designed and widely used – all of them have been used in Syria, and most have been used in Ukraine (the T-64 has appeared more frequently there, being produced in the country).

France, Canada, and the EU are to supply arms to the Peshmerga, and other countries are providing non-lethal assistance.

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